Saudi Arabia Hangs On With Cheap Oil—But For How Long?

on August 27, 2015 at 2:00 PM

Kuwait Promises To Increase Oil Production In Case  Of War

Mark the date on your calendars: Aug. 28, 2018.

That’s when Saudi Arabia goes broke.

Or at least that’s the date according to one model of the oil-rich nation’s reserves, crude production and the price of oil. If crude stays around $40, America’s Middle Eastern ally will run out of money on that date. Obviously, that assumes no other changes in fiscal or monetary policy. But regardless, it’s an exercise that helps show exactly how important the price of oil is, and why Americans who valueMiddle East stability would want to see an increase in oil.

Without a recovery in the oil market, nations face huge budgetary shortfalls and increased political volatility over the coming years. Small, rich nations like Qatar and Kuwait likely have enough cash reserves to ride out the storm for a very long time, but poorer OPEC members like Libya, Iraq and Nigeria face potentially explosive situations.

Read the remainder of this article on CNBC’s website.  

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